Update: Central Plains Slight Risks Now Live for KC and Topeka Today, Pushing to Springfield and Evansville Tomorrow — SevereWX
Following our recent heads-up on Central Plains cities staying storm-ready, the setup we tracked is now materializing. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued Slight Risk outlooks for Tuesday, August 18 across Kansas City, MO, and Topeka, KS, with the action shifting east for Wednesday, August 19 to include Springfield, MO, and Evansville, IN.
A Slight Risk means isolated severe thunderstorms are possible in these areas—not a widespread event, but enough potential for impacts. Expect primarily damaging wind gusts up to 60-70 mph from strong downdrafts, along with some large hail (up to quarter- or golf ball-size) in the strongest storms. An isolated tornado or two can't be ruled out where storms organize best, fueled by daytime heating along lingering boundaries and upper-level support.
This pattern builds on the heat and instability we've seen building across the Plains, with Climate Prediction Center signals leaning toward above-normal temperatures over Kansas in the 6-10 day window (August 23-27), which could sustain storm potential.
Stay vigilant: monitor your local National Weather Service office for updates, watches, or warnings, especially this afternoon and evening. Have a severe weather plan ready—know where to go if storms intensify.
Check your city's detailed AI forecast on SevereWX:
We'll keep tracking as details sharpen.