Could Large Hail Threaten Oklahoma Next Wednesday? — SevereWX

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) puts out extended outlooks for Days 4-8 to spot potential severe weather early. These forecasts use computer models to estimate chances of thunderstorms packing large hail, damaging winds over 58 mph, or tornadoes affecting spots within 25 miles of a location. A 15% probability signals a Slight Risk worth watching, giving folks days to plan ahead—even if details sharpen closer to the date.

Focus sharpens on Day 5, Wednesday, April 22, with 15% severe odds pinpointed for Oklahoma City and Moore in Oklahoma, Tulsa nearby, Wichita in Kansas, Joplin and Kansas City in Missouri. The action shifts east on Day 6, Thursday, April 23, targeting Little Rock in Arkansas and Memphis in Tennessee at the same 15% level.

Keep in mind, these long-range views carry big uncertainty. Jet stream shifts or moisture changes can rewrite the script, so track SPC's Day 1-3 outlooks as they roll out.

Stay prepared—check your local forecast:

• Oklahoma City, OK
• Moore, OK
• Tulsa, OK
• Wichita, KS
• Joplin, MO
• Kansas City, MO
• Little Rock, AR
• Memphis, TN