Supercells Spark in NE New Mexico with Large Hail, Damaging Winds Charging East — SevereWX

Storms are firing up this afternoon in Union County, northeast New Mexico, where backed dewpoints in the 50s and higher terrain are fueling initial development. Visible satellite shows more activity brewing near Raton Mesa.

SPC's Mesoscale Discussion 1399 highlights 35-40 knot effective shear supporting supercell structures amid weak to moderate instability. Hail up to 2.5 inches and wind gusts to 80 mph are the primary threats, per the MD's most probable peaks.

Expect storms to grow upscale as they push east into richer instability tonight, ramping up severe wind potential across southeast Colorado, southwest Kansas, the western Oklahoma Panhandle, and far northwest Texas Panhandle. A 60% chance of a watch issuance adds urgency through 2145Z.

This setup contrasts ongoing Northern Plains action, shifting severe focus southward along the High Plains. Track radar closely as storms evolve.

Stay prepared: Monitor local NWS updates, secure outdoor items, and have a severe weather plan ready. Know your safe spot.