Northeast Oklahoma Supercell Sparks Large Hail, Tornado Threat into Kansas, Missouri — SevereWX

An isolated supercell has fired up in northeast Oklahoma near a remnant outflow boundary from earlier storms in northern Arkansas. This storm is tapping into extreme instability with MLCAPE over 4000 J/kg and dewpoints in the mid-to-upper 70s, fueling potential for rotation despite modest shear.

The Storm Prediction Center highlights risks of 1.50-2.50 inch hail (golf ball to tennis ball size), 65-80 mph wind gusts, and even a tornado rated 100-125 mph (EF2-EF3 intensity). Activity remains spotty for now, but expect possible intensification by mid-evening as the low-level jet ramps up and storms from central Kansas approach from the northwest.

Areas at risk include northeast Oklahoma, southeast Kansas, southwest Missouri, and northwest Arkansas through around 8 PM CDT. Coverage is uncertain early on, but SPC pegs watch odds at 40% and notes a watch will likely be needed soon for parts of this zone.

This fits into broader Plains-to-Mid-South severe patterns today, but keep eyes on radar for this discrete cell's evolution.

Stay prepared: Have multiple alert sources ready, know your safe spot, and monitor local NWS updates or apps like RadarLive for real-time warnings.