Know the threat. Your location. Today.

Today's severe weather outlook

Friday, Oct 9: the highest severe weather risk is a Slight Risk, in Alabama, Florida and Georgia. Saturday: a Slight Risk in Alabama, Florida, Georgia and South Carolina. Sunday: a Marginal Risk in 8 states.

Day 1 severe risk by state

• Alabama severe weather outlook: Slight Risk
• Florida severe weather outlook: Slight Risk
• Georgia severe weather outlook: Slight Risk

All states

Severe weather forecast by city

Today's SevereWX level for every city we forecast, refreshed up to eight times a day. Open a city for its seven-day outlook.

• Alabama: Birmingham (No Severe Threat), Huntsville (No Severe Threat)
• Arkansas: Fayetteville (No Severe Threat), Little Rock (No Severe Threat)
• Colorado: Denver (No Severe Threat)
• Florida: Miami (No Severe Threat), Tampa (No Severe Threat)
• Georgia: Atlanta (No Severe Threat)
• Illinois: Chicago (No Severe Threat), Peoria (No Severe Threat), Springfield (No Severe Threat)
• Indiana: Evansville (No Severe Threat), Fort Wayne (No Severe Threat), Indianapolis (No Severe Threat), South Bend (No Severe Threat)
• Iowa: Des Moines (No Severe Threat)
• Kansas: Topeka (No Severe Threat), Wichita (No Severe Threat)
• Kentucky: Louisville (No Severe Threat)
• Louisiana: New Orleans (Marginal Risk), Shreveport (No Severe Threat)
• Minnesota: Minneapolis (No Severe Threat)
• Mississippi: Jackson (No Severe Threat)
• Missouri: Columbia (No Severe Threat), Joplin (No Severe Threat), Kansas City (No Severe Threat), Springfield (No Severe Threat), St. Louis (No Severe Threat)
• Montana: Billings (No Severe Threat)
• Nebraska: Omaha (No Severe Threat)
• New Mexico: Albuquerque (No Severe Threat)
• North Carolina: Charlotte (No Severe Threat)
• North Dakota: Fargo (No Severe Threat)
• Ohio: Cincinnati (No Severe Threat), Columbus (No Severe Threat), Dayton (No Severe Threat)
• Oklahoma: Moore (No Severe Threat), Oklahoma City (No Severe Threat), Tulsa (No Severe Threat)
• South Carolina: Charleston (No Severe Threat)
• South Dakota: Sioux Falls (No Severe Threat)
• Tennessee: Chattanooga (No Severe Threat), Memphis (No Severe Threat), Nashville (No Severe Threat)
• Texas: Amarillo (No Severe Threat), Austin (No Severe Threat), Dallas (No Severe Threat), Fort Worth (No Severe Threat), Houston (No Severe Threat), Lubbock (No Severe Threat), Waco (No Severe Threat)
• Wisconsin: Milwaukee (No Severe Threat)
• Wyoming: Cheyenne (No Severe Threat)

Why SevereWX

Not another weather app

Apple Weather and the rest read one model and show you a rain icon at 3 PM. SevereWX reads the latest high-resolution model runs for your coordinates, the Storm Prediction Center outlook, and your local NWS forecasters' discussion, then tells you whether that storm can produce hail, damaging wind, or a tornado, and how sure the models are.

Your location, exactly

Not the county. Not the metro area. The threat level for your specific coordinates — updated every time new model data arrives.

The data meteorologists use

HRRR and GFS model data, SPC categorical outlooks, NWS forecast discussions, and NadoCast ML tornado probabilities — synthesized into plain language.

7-day extended outlook

Days 4–7 use extended GFS runs and ECMWF IFS cross-checks, cross-referenced against SPC Day 4–8 probabilistic outlooks. Lower confidence than Day 1–3, but useful for planning ahead.

AI analysis, SPC authority

Our AI analyzes the data and explains what it means for your area. SPC outlooks are treated as authoritative — the AI never downgrades them.

What does "WX" mean?

WX is meteorologist shorthand for "weather" — a two-letter brevity code from Morse telegraph operators, standardized in the late 1800s and still used in NWS forecasts, aviation METARs, and storm spotter reports today.

Threat alerts in your inbox

When a Slight risk or higher is forecast for your location, you get an email before the storms arrive — not after the tornado warning is already issued.

How often SevereWX updates

• Forecast rewritten: Up to 8×/day
• Short-range model (HRRR): Every 3 hours
• Global model (GFS): Every 6 hours
• European model (ECMWF): 2×/day
• Storm Prediction Center outlooks: Every 15 min
• National Weather Service notes: Every 2 hours
• Tornado-chance model: 3× per day