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Columbia, Missouri — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Expect a mostly sunny day with a high near 86 degrees and a low around 60. No rain is expected today. Conditions are not favorable for strong storms.
Tomorrow — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Saturday will be partly sunny with a high near 86°F and a low around 60°F. While some high clouds may be present, rain chances are minimal. Conditions are expected to remain quiet with no strong storms.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday will be sunny and warmer, with a high near 90 degrees and a low around 68. There is a slight chance of a shower late at night. No strong storms are expected.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Tuesday are expected to reach a high of 81 degrees Fahrenheit and fall to a low of 67 degrees Fahrenheit. Showers are possible on Tuesday; one forecast model indicates about a quarter-inch of rain, while another keeps the day mostly dry. Skies will otherwise be mostly sunny. Any storms that develop are unlikely to be strong.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 70 degrees with a low near 59 degrees on Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms are likely throughout the day, bringing between about 0.27 and 0.52 inches of rain. While one forecast suggests conditions could support more robust storms, another indicates any storms are unlikely to be strong. It will feel humid and muggy.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Thursday will reach a high of 73 degrees Fahrenheit, with a low of 62 degrees Fahrenheit. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, bringing around 0.50 to 0.65 inches of rain, though some models suggest lighter amounts. It will feel humid and muggy.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Friday will reach a high of 67 degrees and a low of 52 degrees. There is a slight chance of rain showers, though models disagree significantly, with one suggesting around 0.76 inches of rain and another indicating the day will be essentially dry. Any storms that develop are unlikely to be strong.
Tornado and severe storm history near Columbia
26 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Columbia from 1996 to 2025, about once a year.
5 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the F3 tornado of November 10, 1998, injuring 16.
65% came between February and April, and April alone had 35%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on April 20, 2025 (EF1).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 5.5 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 1.3 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 3 inches, on March 31, 2023.
Damaging wind is reported about 14 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 79 mph, on August 3, 2023.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer