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Waco, Texas — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Waco will be sunny with warm temperatures, with a high reaching 84 and a low of 62. Dry weather is expected all day, and storms are not likely.
Tomorrow — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Expect a sunny Saturday with very warm temperatures, reaching a high near 89°F and a low around 70°F. No rain is expected. Conditions are not favorable for severe storms.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday will be mostly sunny with a high near 87 degrees and a low around 66. There is a small chance of rain. No severe storms are expected.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach around 90 degrees during the day, with overnight lows settling around 73 degrees. It will feel quite humid. Showers and thunderstorms are unlikely, with only minimal rain expected. The day is forecast to be mostly sunny.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach around 90 degrees during the day, falling to the mid-70s overnight, making it feel humid and muggy. Both forecast models keep the day essentially dry, with no significant rain expected. Any thunderstorms are unlikely on Wednesday, and conditions are not favorable for strong storms.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be warm on Thursday, with a high near 86 degrees and a low around 74 degrees, making it feel humid. One weather model suggests possible showers with light rain, while another keeps the day mostly dry. There is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms during both the day and night.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will range from a low of 72 degrees to a high of 82 degrees, and it will feel humid. Showers and thunderstorms are possible on Friday, with one forecast showing around 0.46 inches of rain while another keeps the day essentially dry. Any storms are unlikely to be strong.
Tornado and severe storm history near Waco
41 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Waco from 1996 to 2025, about 1.4 a year.
7 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the F3 tornado of May 27, 1997.
59% came between March and May, and April alone had 29%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on June 11, 2025 (EF0).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 15 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 2 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 4.5 inches, on April 26, 2023.
Damaging wind is reported about 7.5 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 78 mph, on June 10, 2023.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer