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Birmingham, Alabama — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: heavy rain
Tropical Storm Isaias will bring a high chance of showers and heavy rain throughout the day, with some periods of lighter rain possible. Expect high temperatures near 67°F and lows around 61°F. While tropical storm conditions are possible, severe thunderstorms are not expected.
Tomorrow — Sunday, October 11: No Severe Threat
A slight chance of rain showers is expected, otherwise it will be mostly sunny. Highs will be near 80°F, with lows around 57°F. No strong storms are anticipated.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Expect a sunny Monday with warm temperatures, a high near 86 degrees and a low around 64. No rain or thunderstorms are anticipated. The weather conditions will not support the development of any strong storms.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Tuesday are expected to reach a high of 85 degrees Fahrenheit, falling to a low of 64 degrees Fahrenheit overnight. The air will not be humid, with very little moisture present. Showers or storms are not expected, with both forecasts indicating dry conditions throughout the day.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 88 degrees, falling to a low of 67 degrees. It will be sunny throughout the day. Both forecasts indicate a dry day with no rain expected.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Thursday will see temperatures reach a high of 87 degrees, falling to a low of 70 degrees. It will feel rather warm with the air being humid and muggy. Both forecast models keep the day essentially dry, with only a 4% chance of rain indicated for Birmingham.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Friday will be sunny with a high temperature around 85 degrees and a low temperature near 68 degrees. Conditions are not expected to support strong storms. Both forecasts keep the day essentially dry, with only a very small chance of rain.
Tornado and severe storm history near Birmingham
89 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Birmingham from 1996 to 2025, about 3 a year.
24 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the F5 tornado of April 8, 1998, killing 32 and injuring 259.
64% came between February and April, and April alone had 40%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on November 25, 2025 (EF0).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 7.4 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), and hail 2 inches or larger about once every 3 years. The largest stone measured 2.5 inches, on April 5, 2017.
Damaging wind is reported about 31 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 75 mph, on January 22, 2017.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer