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Tulsa, Oklahoma — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Today, Tulsa will experience unseasonably warm weather with abundant sunshine. Afternoon high temperatures will reach into the upper 80s to lower 90s. No rain is expected throughout the day, and conditions will remain dry. Any thunderstorms are not expected, and severe weather is not anticipated.
Tomorrow — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Expect a sunny Saturday with a high near 90°F and a low around 68°F. No rain is expected. The atmosphere will be quiet, with no strong storms anticipated.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday will be sunny with a high of 90 and a low near 73. No strong storms are anticipated. The day will be dry with clear skies and comfortable temperatures.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach 94 degrees in the afternoon, with a low around 76 degrees overnight, and it will feel humid. One forecast suggests around 0.5 inches of rain is possible during this Tuesday, while another expects the day to remain essentially dry. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, especially overnight, as there is about a 50% chance of rain during that time.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach the upper 80s during the day on Wednesday, falling to the mid-70s overnight, and it will feel humid. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, with one forecast predicting around 0.31 inches of rain while another suggests up to 1.56 inches. Some of this rain could be heavy.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be warm on Thursday, with a high around 86 degrees and a low near 74 degrees, making it feel humid and muggy. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, with one model suggesting around half an inch of rain, while another indicates a lesser amount. Any storms are unlikely to be strong, though conditions could help storms organize.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Friday will reach a high of 74 degrees during the day, falling to a low of 59 degrees overnight. One forecast suggests about a quarter inch of rain is possible with six wet hours, while another indicates the day will remain dry. Given the differing forecasts, some rain showers are possible, especially in the afternoon or evening.
Tornado and severe storm history near Tulsa
102 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Tulsa from 1996 to 2025, about 3.4 a year.
13 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the EF4 tornado of May 6, 2024, killing 2 and injuring 33.
71% came between March and May, and May alone had 45%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on November 20, 2025 (EF0).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 42 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 1.4 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 3 inches, on May 21, 2024.
Damaging wind is reported about 45 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 100 mph, on June 17, 2023.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer