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Austin, Texas — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Today will be sunny and hot with a high reaching 90 degrees and a low around 61. The wind will shift to come from the southeast by this afternoon. No thunderstorms are expected.
Tomorrow — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Saturday will be sunny and very warm, with a high reaching 90°F and a low around 72°F. No rain is forecast. The atmosphere will not support severe storms.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday will be partly sunny with a slight chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms, feeling humid and muggy. The high will be around 92 degrees and the low near 70. No strong storms are expected, and any storms that do form are unlikely to be severe.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach around 90 degrees, dropping to the mid-70s overnight, making it feel humid and muggy. Both forecast models keep the day dry, with a small chance of rain according to the NWS point forecast. No thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
High temperatures on Wednesday will reach around 91 degrees, with overnight lows around 76 degrees, making for a warm and humid day. Showers and storms are possible, though forecasts disagree on the amount; one indicates about 0.09 inches of rain, while another keeps the day mostly dry. Conditions are not expected to support organized strong storms.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
High temperatures on Thursday will reach the upper 80s, with overnight lows in the mid-70s. It will feel muggy throughout the day. While one forecast suggests a small chance of light rain, another indicates the day will remain dry, with a 20% chance of rain showers overall.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be warm on Friday, with a high near 86 degrees and a low around 71 degrees. It will feel a bit humid. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, with one forecast keeping the day dry while another suggests around 0.07 inches of rain.
Tornado and severe storm history near Austin
54 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Austin from 1996 to 2025, about 1.8 a year.
5 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the F4 tornado of May 27, 1997, killing 1 and injuring 5.
52% came between March and May, and May alone had 28%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on April 28, 2024 (EF1).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 29 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 5.2 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 4 inches, on September 24, 2023.
Damaging wind is reported about 14 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 71 mph, on April 27, 2016.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer