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Fayetteville, Arkansas — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Expect sunny skies in Fayetteville with a high near 87 and a low around 63. Dry weather is forecast for the entire day, and storms are unlikely to be strong.
Tomorrow — Sunday, October 11: No Severe Threat
Sunday will be sunny and unseasonably warm, with a high near 86 degrees and a low around 63. There is no chance of rain. No strong storms are expected.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday will be sunny and warm with increasing humidity. The high temperature will be around 86 degrees, with a low near 66. No thunderstorms are expected, and conditions will not support strong storms.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 88 degrees, falling to 71 degrees overnight. It will feel humid throughout the day. While one forecast suggests a minimal chance of rain, another keeps the day dry, and the skies are expected to be sunny. No thunderstorms are anticipated.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be warm, with a high near 88 degrees and a low around 72 degrees. It will feel humid and muggy. Showers and thunderstorms are possible throughout the day and night on Wednesday, bringing between about 0.12 and 0.75 inches of rain, though one forecast suggests less rain than the other.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Thursday will be warm and humid, with a high near 76 degrees and a low around 72 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms are possible throughout the day, bringing between a quarter to over half an inch of rain. Some models suggest a higher amount of rain compared to others. Conditions are not expected to support strong storms.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be mild on Friday, with a high of 74 degrees and an overnight low of 56 degrees. One forecast suggests a small amount of rain, around 0.12 inches, while another indicates the day will be essentially dry. Given the differing predictions, there's only a slight chance of rain showers during the day.
Tornado and severe storm history near Fayetteville
70 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Fayetteville from 1996 to 2025, about 2.3 a year.
16 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the EF3 tornado of December 31, 2010, killing 4 and injuring 10.
73% came between March and May, and May alone had 47%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on June 18, 2025 (EF1).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 23 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 1.8 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 5 inches, on May 4, 2020.
Damaging wind is reported about 22 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 68 mph, on May 18, 2025.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer