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Kansas City, Missouri — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
It will be a very sunny and warm day with hardly any clouds and no rain expected. High temperatures will be near 89°F, with overnight lows around 62°F. No severe storms are anticipated.
Tomorrow — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Saturday will be very pleasant with sunny skies and a high near 87°F, dropping to a low of 64°F. There is no chance of rain or storms, making for a beautiful, dry day.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday will be sunny with a high around 89 degrees and a low of 72. There is a very small chance of rain. No severe storms are expected in the area.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Tuesday will range from a low of 65 degrees to a high of 78 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, especially in the afternoon and evening. Forecasts diverge on the amount of rain, with one model suggesting around a quarter-inch and another indicating a lighter amount. Some storms could organize, but widespread strong storms are not expected.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: Marginal Risk
Showers and thunderstorms are likely on Wednesday, bringing between 0.68 and 1.22 inches of rain. Temperatures will range from a low of 62 degrees to a high of 65 degrees. The Storm Prediction Center has flagged this area with a 15% chance of severe weather within 25 miles, though strong storms are unlikely. Conditions could help storms organize.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Thursday will range from a low of 67 degrees to a high of 76 degrees. Showers are likely, with some models suggesting around 0.3 to 1 inch of rain is possible during the day. It will feel humid and muggy throughout the day.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be cool on Friday, with a high near 61 degrees and an overnight low around 54 degrees. Any storms are unlikely to be strong, and overall, conditions do not look favorable for severe weather. Both forecasts indicate the day will be essentially dry, though a slight chance of rain showers is noted by the National Weather Service.
Tornado and severe storm history near Kansas City
72 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Kansas City from 1996 to 2025, about 2.4 a year.
13 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the F4 tornado of May 4, 2003, killing 2 and injuring 30.
74% came between May and July, and May alone had 51%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on June 3, 2025 (EF1).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 52 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 3.6 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 3.5 inches, on March 13, 2024.
Damaging wind is reported about 84 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 89 mph, on July 14, 2023.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer