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Little Rock, Arkansas — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast

Updated

Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat

Expect a mostly cloudy sky today with very little chance of rain. High temperatures will reach around 86°F, with overnight lows near 62°F. No severe weather is expected.

Tomorrow — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat

Saturday will be mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain, mainly during the day. Expect highs near 85 degrees and lows in the low 60s. Strong storms are not anticipated.

Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat

Monday will be very warm and sunny, with a high near 92 degrees and a low around 67. There is a slight chance of rain overnight, but overall it will be dry. Conditions will not support strong thunderstorms.

Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)

Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat

Tuesday will be sunny with a high temperature around 91 degrees and a low around 70 degrees. It will feel humid and muggy. Both forecast models keep the day essentially dry, with no rain expected.

Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat

Temperatures will be hot on Wednesday, reaching around 95 degrees during the day and falling to a low of 76 degrees overnight. It will also feel humid and muggy. Showers and thunderstorms are possible throughout the day, though one forecast keeps the day essentially dry while another suggests around 0.05 inches of rain.

Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat

Temperatures will reach a high of 92 degrees, with a low of 76 degrees. It will feel humid and muggy. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, with around 0.07 inches of rain expected. While one forecast suggests a few hours of rain, another indicates no wet hours.

Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat

High temperatures are expected to reach into the mid 70s, with overnight lows in the mid 60s. It will feel humid and muggy. Showers are possible, with one forecast bringing around half an inch of rain, while another indicates much heavier rain with totals closer to 4.5 inches. Flooding is possible given the higher rain amounts from one forecast.

Tornado and severe storm history near Little Rock

110 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Little Rock from 1996 to 2025, about 3.7 a year.

29 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the EF4 tornado of April 27, 2014, killing 16 and injuring 193.

55% came between March and May, and April alone had 26%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on June 12, 2025 (EF0).

Hail an inch or larger is reported about 19 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), and hail 2 inches or larger about once a year. The largest stone measured 3 inches, on March 27, 2021.

Damaging wind is reported about 32 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 79 mph, on April 5, 2025.

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov

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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer

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