Friday, Oct 9: New Jersey has no severe risk in the outlook. Saturday: No severe risk. Sunday: Marginal Risk.
The Storm Prediction Center's outlook for New Jersey over the next three days, and what a typical severe weather year looks like here.
SPC outlook for New Jersey
Day 1 (Friday, October 9): No severe risk
Day 2 (Saturday, October 10): No severe risk
Day 3 (Sunday, October 11): Marginal Risk
New Jersey city forecasts
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Severe weather in New Jersey, by the numbers
New Jersey averages 2.5 tornadoes a year (1996–2025). One rated EF2 or stronger comes about once every 3 years.
61% of them touch down between July and September, and July alone accounts for 23%. The busiest year on record in that span was 2023, with 13.
Storm reports average about 36 for large hail a year (hail 2 inches or larger is reported about once every 2 years) and 276 for damaging wind (2016–2025).
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. Tornadoes are counted in the state where they began. One storm can produce many reports. spc.noaa.gov