Home › Kentucky severe weather › Louisville
Louisville, Kentucky — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: lightning
Expect a cloudy day with showers and thunderstorms likely, especially from the afternoon into the evening. Highs will struggle to reach the upper 60s, with a low around 58°F. No severe weather is expected, though some lightning is possible with any showers.
Tomorrow — Sunday, October 11: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: lightning
Sunday will feature increasing clouds with showers and thunderstorms possible, especially during the afternoon and evening. Highs will be in the mid-60s, with overnight lows in the upper 50s. While some storms are possible, they are not expected to become strong.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday will be sunny with a high near 85 degrees Fahrenheit and a low around 60 degrees Fahrenheit. No organized storms are expected, and any lingering moisture from Isaias should dissipate. The day is expected to remain dry and quiet.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Tuesday will be sunny with a high temperature around 86 degrees and a low around 66 degrees. It will feel a bit humid. Both forecast models keep the day essentially dry, with only a very slight chance of rain noted by the local forecast office.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 77 degrees, falling to a low of 60 degrees overnight. The air will feel somewhat humid. Showers and thunderstorms are possible throughout the day, though overall rain amounts are expected to be very light. Any storms are unlikely to be strong.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Thursday will reach a high of 75 degrees Fahrenheit, dropping to a low of 60 degrees Fahrenheit overnight. One forecast suggests about 0.17 inches of rain is possible with showers, while another indicates the day will remain mostly dry. Overall, there is about a 37% chance of rain showers during the day and 36% at night.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Friday will range from a low of 64 degrees to a high of 73 degrees. It will feel humid and muggy throughout the day. Showers are possible, with around one tenth of an inch of rain expected. While one forecast suggests no wet hours, another indicates about six wet hours, with average cloud cover at 100%.
Tornado and severe storm history near Louisville
80 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Louisville from 1996 to 2025, about 2.7 a year.
12 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the EF4 tornado of March 2, 2012, killing 11.
54% came between April and June, and April alone had 25%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on December 28, 2025 (EF0).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 18 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), and hail 2 inches or larger about once a year. The largest stone measured 2.75 inches, on May 9, 2023.
Damaging wind is reported about 54 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 82 mph, on May 16, 2025.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
View live forecast on SevereWX →
Put this forecast on your website
Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer