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Amarillo, Texas — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Expect sunny skies today with a high of 82 degrees and a low around 59. Windy conditions are expected, with gusts possibly reaching 38 mph. No thunderstorms are forecast.
Tomorrow — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Saturday looks sunny and pleasant, with a high near 80°F and a low around 60°F. No rain is forecast, and the environment is not conducive to any strong storms.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday will be sunny and warm, with a high near 86 degrees and a low around 65. There is a very small chance for rain overnight, but generally, expect dry weather. Conditions are not expected to support any strong storms.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: Marginal Risk
Primary hazards: large hail, damaging winds
Temperatures on Tuesday will reach a high of 84 degrees, falling to a low of 66 degrees. Both forecasting models suggest around 0.15 inches of rain is possible, with showers and thunderstorms likely during the day and continuing into the night. The Storm Prediction Center has flagged this area with a 15% chance of severe weather within 25 miles, which could bring threats of large hail and damaging winds.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 80 degrees and a low of 64 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, with a 28% chance of rain during the day and evening. One forecast suggests around an inch of rain, while another indicates much lighter rainfall. Any storms are unlikely to be strong.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach 70 degrees during the day, falling to 58 degrees overnight into Friday. There is a slight chance of rain showers during Thursday. One forecast suggests about 0.17 inches of rain, while another indicates the day will remain dry.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
High temperatures on Friday will reach the upper 60s, while overnight lows drop into the mid-50s. While one forecast suggests around 1.8 inches of rain, another keeps the day mostly dry. There is a slight chance of rain showers.
Tornado and severe storm history near Amarillo
53 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Amarillo from 1996 to 2025, about 1.8 a year.
2 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the EF2 tornado of March 13, 2021.
68% came between April and June, and May alone had 26%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on April 25, 2025 (EF0).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 40 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 3.5 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 3 inches, on May 16, 2016.
Damaging wind is reported about 22 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 91 mph, on June 1, 2019.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer