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Tennessee Severe Weather Outlook
Friday, Oct 9: Tennessee has no severe risk in the outlook through Sunday.
The Storm Prediction Center's outlook for Tennessee over the next three days, the SevereWX forecast for each Tennessee city we cover, and what a typical severe weather year looks like here.
SPC outlook for Tennessee
- Day 1 (Friday, October 9): No severe risk
- Day 2 (Saturday, October 10): General thunderstorms
- Day 3 (Sunday, October 11): General thunderstorms
Tennessee city forecasts
- Nashville, TN severe weather forecast: today No Severe Threat, tomorrow No Severe Threat, Day 3 No Severe Threat
- Memphis, TN severe weather forecast: today No Severe Threat, tomorrow No Severe Threat, Day 3 No Severe Threat
- Chattanooga, TN severe weather forecast: today No Severe Threat, tomorrow No Severe Threat, Day 3 No Severe Threat
Severe weather in Tennessee, by the numbers
Tennessee averages 30.5 tornadoes a year (1996–2025), about 6.7 of them rated EF2 or stronger.
56% of them touch down between March and May, and April alone accounts for 25%. The busiest year on record in that span was 2011, with 98.
Storm reports average about 159 for large hail a year (8.1 of them 2 inches or larger) and 616 for damaging wind (2016–2025).
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. Tornadoes are counted in the state where they began. One storm can produce many reports. spc.noaa.gov