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California Severe Weather Outlook

Friday, Oct 9: California has no severe risk in the outlook. Saturday: Marginal Risk. Sunday: Marginal Risk.

The Storm Prediction Center's outlook for California over the next three days, and what a typical severe weather year looks like here.

SPC outlook for California

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Severe weather in California, by the numbers

California averages 8.8 tornadoes a year (1996–2025). One rated EF2 or stronger comes about once every 10 years.

43% of them touch down between January and March, and February alone accounts for 16%. The busiest year on record in that span was 2005, with 30.

Storm reports average about 32 for large hail a year (hail 2 inches or larger is reported about once every 3 years) and 51 for damaging wind (2016–2025).

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. Tornadoes are counted in the state where they began. One storm can produce many reports. spc.noaa.gov

Severe weather outlook for all 48 states