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Indianapolis, Indiana — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: lightning
Expect increasing clouds today with high temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. Scattered non-severe thunderstorms are possible late tonight. Dry conditions and generally calm weather are expected today with no severe storms anticipated. Highs today will be in the mid to upper 70s with overnight lows around 56F.
Tomorrow — Sunday, October 11: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: lightning
Showers and thunderstorms are possible, leading to a partly cloudy day with a high near 70 degrees and a low around 60. Conditions are unlikely to support severe storms. The best chance for rain will be during the daytime hours.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
It will be a warm and mostly sunny day with a high near 86 and a low around 60. There is a slight chance of rain overnight. Conditions are not expected to support any strong storms.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 83 degrees Fahrenheit, dropping to a low of 67 degrees Fahrenheit. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, with one forecast keeping the day essentially dry while another suggests a very small amount of rain. Any storms that do develop are not expected to be strong.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 67 degrees during the day, falling to a low of 52 degrees overnight. Showers are possible on Wednesday, particularly during the day and into the night, though both forecasts indicate minimal rain. Despite the chance of rain, any storms are unlikely to be strong.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be cool on Thursday, with a high around 68 degrees Fahrenheit and a low near 55 degrees Fahrenheit. Showers and thunderstorms are likely throughout the day. Both forecast models indicate rain, with amounts ranging from about 0.11 to 1.22 inches.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Friday will reach a high of 68 degrees Fahrenheit and fall to a low of 60 degrees Fahrenheit. It will feel humid with surface moisture present. There is a chance of rain showers during the day, with around 0.09 inches of rain expected.
Tornado and severe storm history near Indianapolis
52 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Indianapolis from 1996 to 2025, about 1.7 a year.
12 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the F4 tornado of June 11, 1998, injuring 4.
52% came between April and June, and June alone had 19%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on April 2, 2025 (EF1).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 18 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 1 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 3.4 inches, on June 18, 2021.
Damaging wind is reported about 38 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 84 mph, on April 19, 2025.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer