Friday, Oct 9: New Mexico has thunderstorms in the outlook but no severe risk, and none through Sunday.
The Storm Prediction Center's outlook for New Mexico over the next three days, the SevereWX forecast for each New Mexico city we cover, and what a typical severe weather year looks like here.
SPC outlook for New Mexico
Day 1 (Friday, October 9): General thunderstorms
Day 2 (Saturday, October 10): General thunderstorms
New Mexico averages 9.3 tornadoes a year (1996–2025). One rated EF2 or stronger comes about once every 3 years.
65% of them touch down between May and July, and May alone accounts for 30%. The busiest year on record in that span was 2007, with 23.
Storm reports average about 141 for large hail a year (12.3 of them 2 inches or larger) and 87 for damaging wind (2016–2025).
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. Tornadoes are counted in the state where they began. One storm can produce many reports. spc.noaa.gov