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Springfield, Missouri — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Expect a sunny day with a high near 88 degrees and a low around 62. Dry conditions are expected, and humidity may drop low enough to increase fire danger later in the week. No storms are anticipated today.
Tomorrow — Sunday, October 11: No Severe Threat
Sunday will be sunny and very warm, with a high near 90 degrees and a low around 62. There is no chance of rain. No strong storms are expected.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday will be sunny with a high near 90 degrees and a low around 67. There is very little chance of rain. No severe weather is expected.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 90 degrees, dropping to a low of 69 degrees overnight. It will feel humid. One forecast suggests around 0.31 inches of rain with possible showers and storms, while another keeps the day essentially dry. Overall, a sunny day is expected.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: heavy rain, flooding
Temperatures will reach the lower 80s, with overnight lows in the upper 60s, making for a warm and muggy day. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, with some periods of heavy rain possible during the day and night. Total rainfall could range from about 1 to nearly 3 inches, with some localized flooding possible.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Thursday will see temperatures reaching 79 degrees, with a low of 69 degrees, and it will feel humid and muggy. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, with about 0.68 inches of rain expected throughout the day. Some models indicate conditions could help any storms organize, but significant storm activity is not anticipated.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be mild, reaching 68 degrees during the day and falling to 55 degrees overnight. Any storms are unlikely, as one forecast suggests a slight chance of rain showers, while another keeps the day dry. Overall, it appears to be a mostly dry day with comfortable temperatures.
Tornado and severe storm history near Springfield
93 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Springfield from 1996 to 2025, about 3.1 a year.
12 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the F3 tornado of May 4, 2003, killing 7 and injuring 48.
55% came between April and June, and May alone had 29%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on April 29, 2025 (EF0).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 32 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 2 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 4 inches, on May 26, 2024.
Damaging wind is reported about 66 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 90 mph, on April 29, 2025.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer