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Dallas, Texas — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Get ready for a sunny and warm day, with a very low chance of rain. High temperatures will climb to about 87°F, and overnight lows will be near 64°F. No severe weather is expected.
Tomorrow — Sunday, October 11: No Severe Threat
Expect a sunny day with a high near 89°F and a low around 72°F. No rain is expected, and conditions will not support any strong thunderstorms.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Get ready for a warm and sunny day with a high of 90 degrees and a low of 70. There is a very low chance of rain. No severe storms are expected.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be warm on Tuesday, reaching a high near 90 degrees Fahrenheit and dropping to a low of 76 degrees. It will feel muggy with high humidity. Conditions do not appear favorable for organized storms, and any storms that do form are unlikely to be strong. Both forecast models indicate a dry day, with only a very small chance of rain according to the National Weather Service.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach the low 90s, with overnight lows in the upper 70s, making for a warm and muggy day. One forecast suggests a small amount of rain, while another keeps the day essentially dry. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, especially at night, with a slight chance of rain throughout the day.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
High temperatures are expected to reach into the mid-80s, with overnight lows in the mid-70s. It will feel quite humid, with a good chance for showers and thunderstorms during the day and continuing into the night on Thursday. One forecast suggests about a tenth of an inch of rain, while another keeps the day mostly dry.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Friday will see a high temperature of 82 degrees Fahrenheit and a low of 74 degrees Fahrenheit. It will feel humid and muggy throughout the day. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, with one model suggesting about 0.29 inches of rain while another keeps the day essentially dry. If storms develop, they are unlikely to be strong.
Tornado and severe storm history near Dallas
79 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Dallas from 1996 to 2025, about 2.6 a year.
11 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the EF4 tornado of December 26, 2015, killing 10 and injuring 468.
52% came between March and May, and April alone had 24%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on March 4, 2025 (EF1).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 71 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 10 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 5.25 inches, on April 11, 2016.
Damaging wind is reported about 32 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 89 mph, on August 4, 2025.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer