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Minnesota Severe Weather Outlook

Friday, Oct 9: Minnesota has thunderstorms in the outlook but no severe risk, and none through Sunday.

The Storm Prediction Center's outlook for Minnesota over the next three days, the SevereWX forecast for each Minnesota city we cover, and what a typical severe weather year looks like here.

SPC outlook for Minnesota

Minnesota city forecasts

Severe weather in Minnesota, by the numbers

Minnesota averages 44.5 tornadoes a year (1996–2025), about 3.7 of them rated EF2 or stronger.

70% of them touch down between June and August, and June alone accounts for 31%. The busiest year on record in that span was 2010, with 111.

Storm reports average about 384 for large hail a year (35.4 of them 2 inches or larger) and 416 for damaging wind (2016–2025).

Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. Tornadoes are counted in the state where they began. One storm can produce many reports. spc.noaa.gov

Severe weather outlook for all 48 states