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Joplin, Missouri — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Saturday will be sunny and unseasonably warm with a high near 88°F and a low around 64°F. Conditions are expected to remain dry, and no strong storms are anticipated.
Tomorrow — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Saturday will be sunny and warm, with a high around 87°F and a low near 63°F. No rain is expected, and conditions are unfavorable for strong thunderstorms.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Expect a sunny Monday with very warm temperatures, reaching a high near 87 degrees and a low around 70. No thunderstorms are expected, and the weather will remain dry throughout the day. Enjoy the pleasant conditions under clear skies.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be warm on Tuesday, reaching a high of 90 degrees Fahrenheit, with overnight lows around 72 degrees. It will feel quite humid. Showers or thunderstorms are possible, especially during the night, though the total rainfall is expected to be light, around a quarter of an inch. Any storms that develop are not expected to be strong.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Primary hazards: heavy rain
Temperatures will be mild, with a high of 73 degrees and a low of 71 degrees. It will feel humid. Showers and thunderstorms are likely throughout Wednesday, bringing between 0.83 and 1.28 inches of rain. Heavy rain is possible.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Thursday will reach a high of 77 degrees and drop to a low of 67 degrees, making for a warm and humid day. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, with some models suggesting around an inch of rain. Overall cloud cover is expected to be around 67 percent.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Friday will reach a high of 68 degrees and drop to a low of 53 degrees. Both forecasts suggest the day will be essentially dry, though there is a slight chance of rain showers. No thunderstorms are expected.
Tornado and severe storm history near Joplin
72 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Joplin from 1996 to 2025, about 2.4 a year.
10 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the EF5 tornado of May 22, 2011, killing 158 and injuring 1,150.
75% came between April and June, and May alone had 42%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on April 29, 2025 (EF0).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 27 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 1.9 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 3 inches, on March 9, 2017.
Damaging wind is reported about 36 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 85 mph, on March 30, 2025.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer