Friday, Oct 9: Virginia has no severe risk in the outlook. Saturday: General thunderstorms. Sunday: Marginal Risk.
The Storm Prediction Center's outlook for Virginia over the next three days, and what a typical severe weather year looks like here.
SPC outlook for Virginia
Day 1 (Friday, October 9): No severe risk
Day 2 (Saturday, October 10): General thunderstorms
Day 3 (Sunday, October 11): Marginal Risk
Virginia city forecasts
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Severe weather in Virginia, by the numbers
Virginia averages 18 tornadoes a year (1996–2025), about 1.7 of them rated EF2 or stronger.
44% of them touch down between April and June, and April alone accounts for 19%. The busiest year on record in that span was 2004, with 83.
Storm reports average about 118 for large hail a year (5.4 of them 2 inches or larger) and 844 for damaging wind (2016–2025).
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. Tornadoes are counted in the state where they began. One storm can produce many reports. spc.noaa.gov