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Lubbock, Texas — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Saturday will be sunny with a high near 84°F and a low around 59°F. Winds will be a bit breezy. The weather pattern is quiet, and strong storms are not expected.
Tomorrow — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Expect a sunny Saturday with a high near 83°F and a low around 62°F. No rain is anticipated, and conditions will be too quiet for any strong storms to develop.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Monday is forecast to be sunny and warm, with a high near 88 degrees and a low around 64. No rain or thunderstorms are expected. The atmosphere will not support any strong storms, making for a quiet day.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
High temperatures are expected to reach around 85 degrees, with lows near 69 degrees, and it will feel humid. Showers and thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday, with one model suggesting around a third of an inch of rain, while another indicates about a tenth of an inch. Clouds will cover about 20% of the sky during the day.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 82 degrees and a low of 68 degrees on Wednesday. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, with one forecast predicting around an inch of rain, while another suggests lighter amounts. It will feel humid and muggy throughout the day.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
There is a chance of rain showers on Thursday, though models disagree significantly, with one indicating around 2.40 inches of rain and another suggesting the day will be essentially dry. Temperatures will be mild, with a high near 79 degrees Fahrenheit and a low of 64 degrees Fahrenheit. Any storms that develop are not expected to be strong.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will reach a high of 76 degrees and dip to a low of 59 degrees on Friday. One model suggests around 0.62 inches of rain for the day, while another keeps conditions dry. Rain showers are possible, but any storms that do develop are unlikely to be strong.
Tornado and severe storm history near Lubbock
60 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Lubbock from 1996 to 2025, about 2 a year.
5 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the F3 tornado of June 9, 2005.
63% came between April and June, and May alone had 27%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on June 5, 2025 (EF1).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 16 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 2.8 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 5 inches, on June 5, 2025.
Damaging wind is reported about 17 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 109 mph, on June 5, 2025.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer