Friday, Oct 9: Montana has no severe risk in the outlook through Sunday.
The Storm Prediction Center's outlook for Montana over the next three days, the SevereWX forecast for each Montana city we cover, and what a typical severe weather year looks like here.
SPC outlook for Montana
Day 1 (Friday, October 9): No severe risk
Day 2 (Saturday, October 10): General thunderstorms
Montana averages 6.4 tornadoes a year (1996–2025). One rated EF2 or stronger comes about once every 2 years.
88% of them touch down between June and August, and June alone accounts for 37%. The busiest year on record in that span was 1999, with 22.
Storm reports average about 185 for large hail a year (18.6 of them 2 inches or larger) and 224 for damaging wind (2016–2025).
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. Tornadoes are counted in the state where they began. One storm can produce many reports. spc.noaa.gov