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Houston, Texas — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Houston will experience sunny skies throughout the day with very light winds. Temperatures will reach the low 90s, and it will feel warm and muggy. No rain is expected today. No significant weather hazards are anticipated. SPC Outlook: The Storm Prediction Center has no risk area here today, and our assessment aligns with this, showing no threat of severe weather.
Tomorrow — Sunday, October 11: No Severe Threat
Sunday will be sunny and warm, with a high near 88 degrees and a low around 73. There is no chance of rain. No strong storms are expected.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Expect a mostly sunny Monday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially developing along the sea breeze. It will feel humid with a high near 90 and a low around 76. Any storms that form are unlikely to be strong.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will range from a low of 78 degrees to a high of 92 degrees on Tuesday, with very muggy conditions. Showers and thunderstorms are possible, with one forecast keeping the day essentially dry while another brings around 0.21 inches of rain. Any storms that do develop are not expected to be strong.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Wednesday will climb into the low 90s, with overnight lows in the upper 70s, making for a warm and humid day. There is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. One forecast keeps the day essentially dry, while another brings about 0.07 inches of rain. Any storms that develop are not expected to be strong.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be warm, with a high near 89 degrees and a low around 76 degrees, accompanied by muggy conditions. Two different forecast models agree that the day will be dry. The chance of rain or thunderstorms is slight at 18% during the day and overnight. No organized storm activity is expected.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Friday will be mostly sunny and dry with a high temperature near 89 degrees and a low around 76 degrees. Conditions will feel humid with moisture in the air. Any storms are unlikely to be strong, and the chance of rain remains low.
Tornado and severe storm history near Houston
120 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of Houston from 1996 to 2025, about 4 a year.
10 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the EF3 tornado of January 24, 2023.
41% came between October and December, and October alone had 18%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on November 24, 2025 (EF2).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 16 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 1.4 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 2.5 inches, on May 9, 2019.
Damaging wind is reported about 20 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 97 mph, on June 21, 2023.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer