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St. Louis, Missouri — 7-Day Severe Weather Forecast
Updated
Today — Saturday, October 10: No Severe Threat
Today will be mostly cloudy with a high of 86 degrees and a low of 57. Some areas will be cooler than usual. No rain or thunderstorms are expected today.
Tomorrow — Sunday, October 11: No Severe Threat
Expect a sunny Sunday with a high around 87 degrees and a low near 60. There is very little chance of rain. No strong storms are expected.
Day 3 — Monday, October 12: No Severe Threat
Expect a sunny day with a high near 93 degrees and a low around 72. There is no rain expected. No severe storms are anticipated.
Extended Outlook (Days 4–7)
Day 4 — Tuesday, October 13: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be warm on Tuesday, reaching a high of 89 degrees Fahrenheit, with the overnight low around 75 degrees. One forecast keeps the day dry, while another suggests about 0.11 inches of rain, mainly at night. Showers or storms are possible at night.
Day 5 — Wednesday, October 14: No Severe Threat
Temperatures will be mild, reaching a high of 68 degrees Fahrenheit and dipping to a low of 61 degrees Fahrenheit. Showers and thunderstorms are possible throughout Wednesday. Rain totals could range from around 0.30 to 0.50 inches, with one forecast predicting slightly more rain than the other.
Day 6 — Thursday, October 15: No Severe Threat
Temperatures on Thursday will range from a low of 63 degrees to a high of 74 degrees, with humid conditions expected. Showers and thunderstorms are likely throughout the day. One forecast suggests around 0.18 inches of rain, while another indicates a higher amount, closer to 1.60 inches.
Day 7 — Friday, October 16: No Severe Threat
Friday brings a high temperature of 70 degrees with a low of 59 degrees. Showers are possible during the day, though forecasts disagree on the amount of rain. One forecast suggests around three-quarters of an inch of rain, while another indicates the day will be essentially dry. Any storms are unlikely to be strong.
Tornado and severe storm history near St. Louis
101 tornadoes touched down within 25 miles of St. Louis from 1996 to 2025, about 3.4 a year.
18 of them were rated EF2 or stronger. The strongest was the EF4 tornado of April 22, 2011, injuring 5.
66% came between April and June, and April alone had 37%. The latest in the record, which runs through 2025, came on June 4, 2025 (EF1).
Hail an inch or larger is reported about 36 times a year within 25 miles (2016 to 2025), including about 3.3 a year 2 inches or larger. The largest stone measured 4 inches, on May 11, 2016.
Damaging wind is reported about 39 times a year; the strongest measured gust was 81 mph, on May 26, 2024.
Source: NOAA Storm Prediction Center severe weather database. A tornado counts if its track came within 25 miles of the city center. Hail and wind are storm reports, and one storm can produce many. spc.noaa.gov
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Written by AI from weather-model data and Storm Prediction Center outlooks. For information only: not a substitute for official National Weather Service watches and warnings. Full disclaimer