Severe T-Storms Hit AR, MO, TN & KY — April 16, 2026 — SevereWX

Severe T-Storms Hit AR, MO, TN & KY — April 16, 2026

A Slight risk for severe thunderstorms covers the Little Rock, Arkansas vicinity today, with storms producing damaging wind and large hail right now. Multiple Severe Thunderstorm Warnings dot the map across Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee, and Kentucky, while watches shield broader areas from Texas to Illinois overnight into daytime. Scattered severe potential also sparks farther north and east.

Timeline

01:01 UTC — Severe Thunderstorm Watch 123 for north and central Texas

SPC issues a mesoscale discussion on the severe threat across north and central Texas, tied to Severe Thunderstorm Watch 123 valid until 02:30 UTC. Storms here carry risks of damaging winds and large hail through the early overnight hours.

01:34 UTC — Tornado Watches 121-124 cover eastern Oklahoma to southern Missouri

Forecasters highlight a serious severe weather setup from eastern Oklahoma to southern Missouri, where Tornado Watches 121 through 124 are in effect. These watches signal potential for tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds into the predawn hours.

02:26 UTC — Severe Thunderstorm Watch 125 for northern and western Illinois into southeast Wisconsin

A mesoscale discussion flags intensifying storms across northern and western Illinois into far southeast Wisconsin, under Severe Thunderstorm Watch 125. Expect damaging winds and hail as these storms push through until 04:00 UTC.

03:44 UTC — Severe Thunderstorm Watch 126 issued for west central Arkansas

SPC notes the severe weather threat in west central Arkansas, leading to Severe Thunderstorm Watch 126 valid until 05:15 UTC. Storms pose risks of large hail and damaging winds overnight.

16:11 UTC — 80% chance of watch for southern Missouri, northern Arkansas, western Tennessee and Kentucky

Storms are ramping up across southern Missouri, northern Arkansas, and portions of western Tennessee and Kentucky, prompting SPC to call for an 80% chance of a severe thunderstorm watch soon. This high-confidence setup points to damaging winds and isolated large hail through the afternoon.

17:36 UTC — 60% chance of watch for central and eastern New York into southern Vermont

Discrete storm potential emerges in portions of central and eastern New York and southern Vermont, with a 60% probability of a severe thunderstorm watch. Damaging winds are the main concern here into early evening.

18:36 UTC — Low severe threat in eastern Ohio, western Pennsylvania and northern West Virginia

Marginal severe potential exists across portions of eastern Ohio into western Pennsylvania and northern West Virginia, but a watch appears unlikely at just 20% odds. Any storms would bring isolated damaging gusts.

20:22 UTC — Severe Thunderstorm Watch 127 for southern Missouri, northern Arkansas and western Kentucky

SPC updates on the ongoing severe cluster in portions of southern Missouri, northern Arkansas, and western Kentucky under Severe Thunderstorm Watch 127. These storms threaten large hail and damaging winds until 22:15 UTC.

20:33 UTC — Minimal severe risk in southern Lower Michigan into northeast Indiana, northwest Ohio

Very low severe odds, at 5%, affect portions of southern Lower Michigan into northeastern Indiana and northwestern Ohio, with a watch unlikely. Isolated gusty winds remain possible.

20:46 UTC — Severe Thunderstorm Watch 127 covers eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas

Forecasters confirm the severe threat under Severe Thunderstorm Watch 127 from eastern Oklahoma into western Arkansas, valid until 22:45 UTC. Expect hail and wind damage from ongoing activity.

20:53 UTC — 40% chance of watch for portions of western Texas

Storms show potential in western Texas, with a 40% chance of a severe thunderstorm watch issuance. Damaging winds are highlighted into 22:00 UTC.

20:57 UTC — 40% chance of watch for northern Pennsylvania into southwestern New York

Discrete severe storms may develop in northern Pennsylvania and southwestern New York, carrying a 40% watch probability. Winds and hail are possible threats.

22:04 UTC — Severe Thunderstorm Watch 127 for southeastern Missouri, western Kentucky and northwestern Tennessee

SPC tracks the severe line across southeastern Missouri, western Kentucky, and northwestern Tennessee under Watch 127 until 23:30 UTC. Large hail and damaging winds continue.

22:50 UTC — 40% chance of watch for upstate New York and Vermont

Evening storm potential builds in upstate New York and Vermont, with a 40% odds for a severe thunderstorm watch. Gusty winds remain the primary hazard overnight.

Outlook

More Severe Thunderstorm Warnings likely pulse across the Arkansas SLGT area and into Tennessee and Kentucky this evening, while discrete cells in the Northeast could intensify further. Monitor local NWS updates as storms evolve.

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