Severe Thunderstorm Warnings Great Lakes to Southeast Amid Enhanced Risk — July 27, 2026 — SevereWX
Severe weather unfolds across the central U.S. under an SPC Enhanced risk, with Slight risk coverage centered on the Nashville, TN and St. Louis, MO areas where storms pose the greatest organized threat. Multiple severe thunderstorm watches cover parts of Tennessee, Kentucky, and Indiana into the overnight hours, while warnings target ongoing storms capable of damaging winds and large hail in Tennessee, the Illinois-Indiana border, Virginia, and isolated spots farther afield. Activity peaks now across these zones with radar showing robust cores.
Storms intensify amid high instability and wind shear favorable for severe gusts, though tornado risk remains low. Focus remains on the Slight zones where clustered activity could persist or redevelop next few hours.
Timeline
6:15 PM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for southern IN, KY
SPC issued a severe thunderstorm watch for counties including Dubois and Perry in Indiana plus Allen, Barren, Breckinridge, Butler, Edmonson, Grayson, Hancock, and Logan in Kentucky. The watch runs until 1:00 AM EDT. Storms in this area may produce damaging winds and large hail.
8:34 PM EDT — SPC eyes severe risk in western/middle TN; watch possible (60%)
SPC issued Mesoscale Discussion 1749 highlighting severe potential across portions of western into middle Tennessee. A severe thunderstorm watch carries a 60% probability in the coming hours. Storms here threaten damaging winds and isolated large hail.
9:04 PM EDT — SPC assesses severe risk in VA/MD/NC; watch unlikely (20%)
SPC released Mesoscale Discussion 1750 for parts of VA/MD into western/central NC. Severe potential exists but a watch is unlikely with only 20% probability. Any storms could bring gusty winds and hail.
9:10 PM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for western TN
A severe thunderstorm watch took effect for Benton, Carroll, Decatur, Hardin, Henderson, and Henry counties in Tennessee. It expires at 2:00 AM EDT. Expect possible damaging winds and hail from developing storms.
9:28 PM EDT — SPC flags severe risk in WI/Upper MI; watch possible (60%)
Mesoscale Discussion 1751 from SPC notes severe potential in portions of central and northern Wisconsin into western Upper Michigan. A watch is possible with 60% odds. Storms may pack damaging winds.
9:51 PM EDT — SPC discusses severe activity, recent watches in sKY/TN
SPC issued Mesoscale Discussion 1752 for portions of far southern Kentucky into western and middle Tennessee. It references Severe Thunderstorm Watches 516 and 517 now in effect. Ongoing storms pose wind and hail hazards.
10:09 PM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for swIN, wKY
SPC placed Gibson, Pike, Spencer, Vanderburgh, and Warrick counties in Indiana plus Caldwell, Calloway, Christian, and Crittenden counties in Kentucky under a severe thunderstorm watch. Valid until 1:00 AM EDT. Damaging winds and hail are the main threats.
11:23 PM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for middle TN
A severe thunderstorm watch covers Giles, Hickman, Humphreys, Lawrence, Lewis, Marshall, Maury, Perry, Wayne, and Williamson counties in Tennessee. It lasts until 2:00 AM EDT. Storms capable of severe winds and hail are expected.
11:38 PM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Wabash IL, Gibson IN
A severe thunderstorm warning is active for Wabash County, IL and Gibson County, IN until 12:30 AM EDT. Radar indicates storms with potential for damaging winds and large hail.
11:42 PM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Benton/Decatur TN
Severe thunderstorm warning issued for Benton and Decatur counties, TN until 12:30 AM EDT. Storms are producing damaging wind gusts and possible hail.
11:52 PM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Lunenburg/Prince Edward VA
A severe thunderstorm warning covers Lunenburg and Prince Edward counties, VA until 12:30 AM EDT. Expect damaging winds from this storm.
11:56 PM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Crook WY
Severe thunderstorm warning in effect for Crook County, WY until 12:45 AM EDT. The storm brings risks of damaging winds and large hail.
11:56 PM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for eastern VA counties
A severe thunderstorm warning targets Caroline, Essex, King and Queen, King William, Middlesex, and Richmond counties, VA until 12:45 AM EDT. Damaging winds and hail are likely.
12:01 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Wabash IL, Gibson/Posey/Vanderburgh IN
A severe thunderstorm warning is in effect until 12:45 AM EDT for Wabash County, Illinois, and Gibson, Posey, and Vanderburgh Counties, Indiana. Storms in this area could produce damaging wind gusts and large hail. Seek shelter if severe weather is nearby.
12:03 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Decatur County, TN
Severe thunderstorm warning now active until 12:30 AM EDT covering Decatur County in Tennessee. Expect possible damaging winds and large hail from ongoing storms. Stay indoors and monitor updates.
12:04 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning issued for Chippewa County, MI
A severe thunderstorm warning covers Chippewa County, Michigan, until 12:45 AM EDT. These thunderstorms may bring strong wind gusts capable of damage and large hail. Take precautions and avoid the storm path.
12:06 AM EDT — SPC Mesoscale Discussion 1753 for TN/AL/MS
The Storm Prediction Center issued Mesoscale Discussion 1753 for southwest and southern middle Tennessee into northern Alabama and northeast Mississippi. Conditions favor severe thunderstorms, with Severe Thunderstorm Watch 517 in consideration. Damaging winds are the main threat.
12:08 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Lunenburg/Prince Edward Counties, VA
Severe thunderstorm warning until 12:30 AM EDT for Lunenburg and Prince Edward Counties in Virginia. Storms capable of producing damaging winds and hail are affecting the region. Shelter in a sturdy building.
12:08 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Essex/King and Queen/Middlesex/Richmond Counties, VA
A severe thunderstorm warning is active until 12:45 AM EDT across Essex, King and Queen, Middlesex, and Richmond Counties, Virginia. Large hail and damaging winds are possible with these storms. Remain weather-aware.
12:09 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Hickman/Lawrence/Lewis/Perry/Wayne Counties, TN
Severe thunderstorm warning now in effect until 1:15 AM EDT for Hickman, Lawrence, Lewis, Perry, and Wayne Counties in Tennessee. The storms threaten damaging wind gusts and large hail. Seek safe shelter immediately.
12:10 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Wabash IL, Gibson IN
Another severe thunderstorm warning until 12:30 AM EDT covers Wabash County, Illinois, and Gibson County, Indiana. Powerful wind gusts and hail remain possible. Monitor local alerts closely.
12:19 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for parts of IN, KY
The National Weather Service issued a severe thunderstorm watch for Dubois and Perry counties in Indiana, plus Butler, Hancock, Logan, and Ohio counties in Kentucky. It runs until 1:30 AM EDT. Storms here may bring damaging winds and large hail.
12:20 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Chippewa County, MI
A severe thunderstorm warning is in effect for Chippewa County in Michigan until 12:45 AM EDT. Expect strong winds capable of damage and large hail from this storm. Take shelter if in the area.
12:23 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for central VA
Severe thunderstorm warning covers Culpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Spotsylvania, and Stafford counties in Virginia until 12:45 AM EDT. These storms pack damaging wind gusts and hail. Move indoors away from windows.
12:26 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for eastern VA
A severe thunderstorm warning is active for Essex, King and Queen, Middlesex, and Richmond counties in Virginia until 12:45 AM EDT. Damaging winds and large hail are the main threats. Seek shelter immediately.
12:30 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for southwest Tennessee
A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 2:00 AM EDT for Decatur, Hardin, and Henderson counties in Tennessee. Storms here may produce damaging winds and large hail. Stay prepared and monitor updates.
12:34 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Chippewa County, MI
A severe thunderstorm warning is active until 1:15 AM EDT for Chippewa County in Michigan. Seek shelter if threatening storms near you. Damaging winds and large hail are the main threats.
12:39 AM EDT — Severe potential eyed in northern Michigan
The Storm Prediction Center notes severe thunderstorm risk across eastern Upper Michigan into northern Lower Michigan. A watch could be issued soon with storms capable of strong winds and hail. Remain vigilant overnight.
12:54 AM EDT — SPC MD 1755 flags severe risk northern MN/WI/Upper MI
SPC issued Mesoscale Discussion 1755 highlighting severe thunderstorm potential across northern Minnesota, Wisconsin, and western and central Upper Michigan. A watch is possible with 60% probability. Expect storms with damaging winds and large hail.
12:57 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning Chippewa Co., MI
A Severe Thunderstorm Warning is in effect until 1:15 AM EDT for Chippewa County in Michigan's Upper Peninsula. Damaging wind gusts and heavy rain are expected in the warned area. Seek sturdy shelter if storms approach.
1:03 AM EDT — Severe Warning: Orange/Spotsylvania Counties, VA
A severe thunderstorm warning is now in effect for Orange and Spotsylvania counties in Virginia until 1:30 AM EDT. These storms may produce damaging wind gusts and large hail. Residents should seek shelter if threatening weather approaches.
1:03 AM EDT — Severe Warning: Lunenburg/Mecklenburg Counties, VA
A severe thunderstorm warning is now in effect for Lunenburg and Mecklenburg counties in Virginia until 1:45 AM EDT. Damaging winds and large hail are possible with this storm. Stay alert and monitor local updates.
1:03 AM EDT — Severe Warning: St. Louis County, MN
A severe thunderstorm warning is now in effect for St. Louis County in Minnesota until 2:00 AM EDT. The storm could bring damaging wind gusts and large hail. Take cover if severe weather nears.
1:27 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Lunenburg/Mecklenburg Counties, VA
A severe thunderstorm warning is now in effect until 1:45 AM EDT for Lunenburg and Mecklenburg counties in Virginia. These storms may produce damaging winds and large hail. Residents should seek shelter right away.
1:28 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for St. Louis County, MN
Severe thunderstorm warning active until 2:00 AM EDT for St. Louis County, Minnesota. Expect damaging winds and large hail from this storm. Stay indoors and away from windows.
1:28 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Spotsylvania County, VA
A severe thunderstorm warning until 2:00 AM EDT is in place for Spotsylvania County, Virginia. Strong winds that can cause damage and large hail are possible. Take precautions if in the area.
1:37 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Spotsylvania, VA
Severe thunderstorms packing damaging winds and large hail are moving through Spotsylvania County. The warning runs until 2:00 AM EDT. Take cover if storms approach your location.
1:39 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for St. Louis, MN
Powerful storms capable of producing large hail and strong wind gusts prompted this warning for St. Louis County. It expires at 2:00 AM EDT. Stay indoors and away from windows.
1:44 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Kent, Queen Anne's, MD
Thunderstorms with potential for damaging winds and hail are affecting Kent and Queen Anne's Counties. The alert is in effect until 2:30 AM EDT. Monitor radar and heed local alerts.
1:45 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Koochiching, St. Louis, MN
Fresh severe thunderstorm warning covers Koochiching and St. Louis Counties in Minnesota due to storms bringing hail and gusty winds. It lasts until 2:45 AM EDT. Seek shelter promptly.
1:55 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning: Spotsylvania, VA
The National Weather Service issued a severe thunderstorm warning for Spotsylvania County in Virginia. It's in effect until 2:30 AM EDT. Expect strong winds capable of damage and large hail.
1:57 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning: Koochiching & St. Louis Counties, MN
A severe thunderstorm warning is now active for Koochiching and St. Louis Counties in Minnesota. This warning runs until 2:45 AM EDT. Residents should prepare for damaging wind gusts and hail.
2:04 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Kent, Queen Anne's MD
Severe thunderstorms packing damaging winds and large hail are moving through Kent and Queen Anne's counties in Maryland. The warning remains in effect until 2:30 AM EDT. Take shelter indoors if you're in the area.
2:04 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Chippewa, Mackinac MI
Powerful storms capable of producing strong winds and hail are affecting Chippewa and Mackinac counties in Michigan's Upper Peninsula. This warning is valid until 2:45 AM EDT. Stay safe by avoiding windows and staying inside.
2:06 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Caroline, Hanover, Louisa VA
A cluster of severe thunderstorms is bringing risks of damaging winds and large hail to Caroline, Hanover, and Louisa counties in Virginia. The warning expires at 2:45 AM EDT. Seek sturdy shelter right away.
2:10 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Lake, St. Louis MN
Severe thunderstorms are rolling through Lake and St. Louis counties in Minnesota, with potential for gusty winds and hail. This warning lasts until 3:15 AM EDT. Monitor conditions closely overnight.
2:11 AM EDT — Severe thunderstorm warning for Caroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot MD
New severe thunderstorm warning covers Caroline, Queen Anne's, and Talbot counties in Maryland with threats of damaging winds and large hail. It is in effect until 3:00 AM EDT. Prepare by having a safe room ready.
2:18 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for St. Louis, MN
A severe thunderstorm warning is in effect for St. Louis County in Minnesota until 2:45 AM EDT. Strong winds and large hail are possible with this storm. Take shelter indoors away from windows.
2:24 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Caroline & Talbot Counties, MD
Severe thunderstorms threaten Caroline and Talbot Counties in Maryland until 3:00 AM EDT. Expect damaging wind gusts and hail. Move to a sturdy building if in the area.
2:29 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for central Virginia
A severe thunderstorm warning covers Caroline, Hanover, and Louisa Counties in Virginia until 2:45 AM EDT. The storm may produce strong winds capable of damage and large hail. Seek shelter right away.
2:30 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Lake Superior shores until 10 AM
NWS issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10:00 AM EDT for areas including Chequamegon Bay to Oak Point WI, Grand Portage to Taconite Harbor MN. Storms here may produce damaging winds and large hail. Stay prepared for severe weather.
2:30 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for northeast MN, northwest WI until 10 AM
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 10:00 AM EDT for Cook, Itasca, Koochiching, Lake, St. Louis counties MN and Ashland, Bayfield, Douglas, Iron, Price counties WI. Expect possible strong storms with gusty winds and hail. Monitor radar and local alerts.
2:31 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Lake Superior UP MI shores until 10 AM
Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10:00 AM EDT now covers Saxon Harbor WI to Ontonagon MI along Lake Superior. Thunderstorms could bring damaging winds and large hail to mariners and coastal areas. Prepare safety measures.
2:31 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for western Upper MI counties until 10 AM
NWS has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10:00 AM EDT for Gogebic and Ontonagon counties MI. Storms may intensify with risks of high winds and hail. Have a plan in place.
2:31 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for north-central WI until 10 AM
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch extends until 10:00 AM EDT for Florence, Forest, Langlade, Lincoln, Marinette, Menominee, Oconto, Oneida, Shawano counties WI. Damaging winds and large hail are possible with developing storms. Stay alert.
2:32 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for MD Eastern Shore until 3:15 AM
Severe Thunderstorm Warning now in effect until 3:15 AM EDT for Kent and Queen Anne's counties MD. Storms capable of producing damaging winds and large hail. Seek shelter if in path.
2:35 AM EDT — SPC MD 1756 notes severe risk central VA, watch unlikely
SPC Mesoscale Discussion 1756 highlights severe thunderstorm potential in portions of central Virginia through about 3:30 AM EDT, but watch unlikely. Storms could bring damaging winds and hail. Watch local NWS for warnings.
2:36 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Watch for far north MN until 10 AM
Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued until 10:00 AM EDT for Lake of the Woods and Roseau counties MN. Thunderstorms may produce strong winds and large hail. Prepare accordingly.
2:41 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning for St. Louis County MN until 3:45 AM
A Severe Thunderstorm Warning is active until 3:45 AM EDT for St. Louis County MN. Radar indicates storms with potential for damaging winds and hail. Take cover immediately.
2:44 AM EDT — Severe Thunderstorm Warning central VA including Richmond until 3:30 AM
Severe Thunderstorm Warning until 3:30 AM EDT for Caroline, Goochland, Hanover, Henrico, King William, New Kent counties and Richmond City VA. Storms packing damaging winds and large hail. Shelter in place.
What's Next
Severe thunderstorm watches cover parts of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan until 10 AM EDT, with storms expected to bring damaging winds and hail. Isolated warnings continue in Minnesota, Maryland, and Virginia this morning. More storms may develop; monitor NWS updates closely.
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